We probably know (nothing is a certainty with GoldenGirl, but if after seeing Erika flip Town they changed their decision again, I’m going to have some choice words later) that Luft is not the Third Killer. We also know that the Second Killer failed to shoot, and that the last post GoldenGirl made was that they would RB YoubutWorse.
If I’m being TR by the Specialist, and I know I’m not being blocked, do I always shoot the Specialist? Or do I try and get the other Killer? It’s an interesting question. I think the answer is yes, but I’m not exactly sure.
It probably doesn’t clear YouButWorse, but it gives me some hesitance to vote there. After all, if YBW is the Third Killer, they have to find the Second Killer, and time is certainly running out.
Interestingly enough, whatever Town that is would be Kingmaker, since at that point you know you’re voting for Killer. I have a feeling the Killers don’t want to leave their ultimate fate in the hands of a Town player. So they have to either try and collaborate here, or if we’re wrong, shoot the other Killer.
Now see here is the thing. Luft and Martin coming in and voting (and voting different players, mind you), means that one of them has to be Killer. Only a Killer would come into today and insist on a vote (any vote) without trying to find consensus. Because if it’s wrong, it’s basically game over for Town (or at least completely out of our hands).
This is Spak also agreeing with Martin, and piling on. But why push the slot that Confirmed Town actually felt was Town, and is very unlikely to be the Second Killer?
I continue to land logically at Spak, and my gut is telling me Martin was fooling me and is the other one. Now, what if I’m reading both of the Town as Killers? Hahaha that would be embarrassing. It would be somewhat unlucky given the way the mechanics have played out, but still.
Yeah uh bad news for ya bud if you believe only one of us is killer
that also means that one of us has to be town
and therefore proves both of us could be town for doing a very similar thing
Also, there easily can be philosophies held by town that early voting helps finding a consensus better; no voting until <8 hours to EoD can sometimes fail to create a consensus
Well, not exactly “prove”, but by virtue of a town doing an X thing, its also possible (or in some cases plausible but im not going into nuances here) for other towns to do said thing as well.
Keep in mind I’ve laid out what I believe to be the case. If YBW is last killer, then it’s likely luft. If he’s second, then its likely Spak.
I don’t believe Spak just no-kills as 2nd killer and then makes the quote I pointed out before in p#868, where he reads both me AND Luft as town, as well as Andres while only scum-reading YBW and Erika.
Therefore, Spak 2nd killer + YBW last killer isn’t possible fmpov.
Thus leaving Luft as the 2nd killer if YBW is last killer.