So, the claims are
Vig/Blank Vig? (Do you guys know if you’re a blank vig?): Nanook, fferylit & dwiltise
Bomb: Katyusha
SuperSaint: Me
Okay, it says you guys don’t know if your blank or not, so I’ll refer to the handy dandy set-up rules:
2 Mafia Goons
3-5 Vigilantes OR Blank Vigilantes
2-4 Bombs OR Supersaints
25% chance of 3 Vigs (50% Blank Vig) and 4 town roles (50/50% Bomb or Supersaint)
50% chance of 4 Vigs (50% Blank Vig) and 3 town roles (50/50% Bomb or Supersaint)
25% chance of 5 Vigs (50% Blank Vig) and 2 town roles (50/50% Bomb or Supersaint)
So, a vig, a super saint, a blank vig and of course a mafia goon are gone, so we have left:
1 Mafia Goons
1-3 Vigilantes OR Blank Vigilantes
1-3 Bombs OR Supersaints
25% chance of 3 Vigs (50% Blank Vig) and 4 town roles (50/50% Bomb or Supersaint)
50% chance of 4 Vigs (50% Blank Vig) and 3 town roles (50/50% Bomb or Supersaint)
25% chance of 5 Vigs (50% Blank Vig) and 2 town roles (50/50% Bomb or Supersaint)
Assuming no town player is lying, that means that we have to be in the:
66.6% chance of 4 Vigs (50% Blank Vig) and 3 town roles (50/50% Bomb or Supersaint)
or
33.3% chance of 5 Vigs (50% Blank Vig) and 2 town roles (50/50% Bomb or Supersaint)
Option 1 is 4 vigs and 3 town roles, and means scum is one of the vig claims.
Option 2 is 5 vigs and 2 town roles, and means scum is one of Katy/Me.
_fferyllt claims to have vigged Katsuki
Nanook also claims to have vigged Katsuki
Did dwiltse claim who they shot? I can’t really find out if he said it lol.
Oh dear, I was about to suggest a terrible idea lol. Good thing I actually occasionally reread my posts before sending them.
Actually, why would scum!dwiltse claim vig here? Once four vigs have claimed, it would have made way more sense to claim bomb or supersaint, especially given that if I’d claimed vig it would have confirmed scum in the vigs, and confirmed an un-night killable townie? Someone else said he’d claimed vig, but apparently he didn’t remember that so from his perspective, why claim vig as scum?
Town read on dwiltise.
Oh, and I can actually answer this now! I’d lynch nanook because I doubt dwiltise claims vig as scum.
Now that day 1 has passed, I have unlocked my game solving abilties!
I’m just going to assume Dwiltise claimed to shoot no one (Because it seems like he’s saying that?)
Which means one of {Nanook/fferlit} has to be town, because mafia has to have shot Josh here. It also means that at least one of them is a real vig.
Hmmm… I may have a crazy plan here. Let me think about this a bit.
Ahhh, I don’t think it can work.
Anyway, enjoy my ramblings and I’ll talk in the morning!
He claimed vig D1, mate.
Okay, thanks. So why did he say he didn’t remember claiming vig day 1?
And technically, that means my town read of him goes towards you then. You’d have known of the four vigs, and thus would have likely not claimed vig if you were scum. Especially claiming to kill the same person that someone else did lol.
No idea. If he’s town, he likely just forgot he claimed D1. If he’s scum, he’s probably saying he forgot to get the townread you just gave him–or he just forgot, forgetting things isn’t an exclusively townie trait. Hard to say which is more likely.
Did he claim to shoot no one?
He sort of implied that, but he hasn’t explicitly claimed a night action that I’ve seen.
Okay then. I kinda came to the same conclusion.
So… from this new info I’m kinda left to assume that out of {fferylit, Nanook} that you’re the confirmed town non-blank vigilante. Which means my plan may actually work now! I’ll do some more thinking.
Ahh, i have to sleep so I’ll talk in the morning
so according to claims right now we are looking at the following
I didn’t shoot anyone because I thought it more detrimental to the town and my only want to shoot was josh however I didn’t simply because he was town viewed by majority and I wasn’t going to be a dick and simply shoot someone who was viewed as town…
also wanna point out that due to mylos claim we shouldn’t lynch mylo for now just in simple fact of the whole hammer thing and if scum don’t hammer town loses so theres that… essentially leaving GB and Mylo off the table for me today just an fyi if in the off chance they are both alive tomorrow I think what should be done is they lynch mylo and mylo decides on hammer this would essentially just leave 1 person remaining which means odds of catching scum in there are likely… if mylo isn’t supersaint and is lynched tomorrow then hes scum he dies and town wins… if he is supersaint and is alive tomorrow it will be him and GB (assuming the bomb claim is real) and one of me nook and _fferyllt… however if mafia was smart they would kill mylo tonight regardless which would leave GB and 2 f myself nanook and _fferyllt…
I didn’t drop it I stated my reasoning for why I thought josh was scum and left town to look at it after they did everyone still generally viewed him as town so my newness to joshs gameplay was simply in play there and decided to leave it with a grain of salt for the overall towns benefit… had he not died last night I was going to revisit the case today and make another push on him…
exactly and if I was scum I would have killed nook cuz 1 hes the only one who knows my play here and I simply coulda usd his death as someone trying to frame me knowing that only me and him know eachother… as town I honestly still expected this to happen however mafia killed josh instead to probably the same effect trying to incriminate me assuming id shoot josh which I didn’t…
so thinking about it now actually this still puts nanook as even more townie then you _fferyllt simply because he would have known as scum or town I would have used that defense and probably gotten out of it… the rest of you however did not know my play and therefor didn’t know what I could have been thinking…
so with that in mind it still goes_fferyllt as most scummy for me with nook a safe distance away then mylo still being null simply on his claim for today and not wanting to risk the chance incase he is SS and then GB being town…
im interested in hearing @Myloninja13 mylos plan honestly if u got something bro bring it out even if the plan itself wouldn’t work with the others here we could all possibly build on it to make it a plan that would work…
this is where I claimed my vig shot day 1 (had to go back and check and what not)
and where I claimed not bomb
other then these I didn’t mention anything about my role whatsoever…
also wanna point out (even tho its trivial and pretty much nia) im the only one that had a solid town read on elli for ow he handled day 1 fyi…