id also like to note another thing that makes me believe nanook is more likely town then _fferyllt is simply because he does know my gameplay and hes the only one… so as scum there is no profit on him in not pushing a case against me… granted hes not giving me a town read however he does state his willingness to leave it be for now but also acknowledges my general day 2 town play in a way but saying im putting in decent work (what I got from it anyway)…
VC 2-3 (No Change)
_fferyllt: 1 (Nanook)
Not Voting: 4 (_fferyllt, Myloninja13, KatyushaGB, dwiltse1114)
With 5 alive it takes 3 to lynch.
Day 2 ends on June 18, 2018 1:00 AM (Europe: Paris), June 17, 2018 4:00 PM (America: Los Angeles)
its so quite…
what are your thoughts on mylo’s claim and recent posts and does it change your opinion of him?
assume we lynch me today and i’m not blank; who would you think is most likely scum if mylo gets killed tonight? who would you think is most likely scum if no kill occurs tonight?
i sincerely doubt either dom or nanook are going to die this game; assuming one of them is scum and i’m not wrong about the mylo thing, they pretty much need to keep the other alive atm - they’re either going to kill mylo OR leave him alive and no-kill for paranoia reasons
i still think dom is the most likely of the two. his entire approach to scum hunting this game doesn’t come across as genuine to me and i pretty strongly disagree that his josh push looked town. the rest of his play doesn’t look town to me. nanook reads kind of awkward but i think his thought processes are easier to follow and make more sense
Oh, my original plan was to no lynch, and get a vig to shoot for GB. If GB is a bomb, that means the vig will die and GB will be confirmed town. If GB is scum, we obviously win straight away.
Then, mafia would kill someone that night as well. If mafia shot me, we’d go into day 3 with a confirmed townie and two vig claims. If mafia shot GB (Assuming it’s not them, because we’d win regardless), we win as well. If mafia shoots in the vig claims, then we’d either go into day 3 with a guarenteed win or we’d go into day 3 with two vig claims, a confirmed townie and me. From there, we would still have a two person lynch possibilty (Because I could get lynched, but we’d agree on who would hammer me).
That all would mean at worst we’d have to decide between two people for the final mafia, with a confirmed townie.
And in that strategy, I’d lose if I was mafia in every possibility lol.
The only problem with that plan that I can see is confirming who is a proper vig. We know at least one of {Nanook, ffery} are a non-blank town vig, however we can’t confirm that they aren’t both non-blank vigs. Blank vigs don’t die if they attack a bomb, but if they’re both non-blank vigs and they both go for GB and they are the bomb and mafia don’t go for one of those three, then we’re screwed.
If any of you guys notice a problem with this plan, please tell me! I’m trying to make sure this works, and aside from that one scenario (That would literally only work if Dom is scum AND ffery & Nanook are both Non-blank vigs), we’ve got a plan that either wins us the game immediately, or leaves us with a two-person only scum pool to decide through, instead of the three that would be left if we lynch ffery and they flip town.
To summarise my plan:
We’d no lynch today
Both ffery and Nanook would shoot GB
If we go into day 3 with Me/GB/?? We win
If we go into day 3 with GB/Two vig claims GB would decide the lynch between those two.
If we go into day 3 with Me/GB/Two vig claims, GB and I would decide who we believe is scummier, and then lynch me with the scummier being the hammering vote.
And there’s literally no other outcome here aside from winning or the unlikely (But unfortunately plausible) option of Nanook & ffery both being non-blank vigs AND Dom being scum. So this plan may actually work after all!
GB isn’t bulletproof, he’s a bomb…
Yeah, I know that. Did I say it wrong once?
Also, is the plan as crazy as I think it is lol?
your plan just doesn’t work. shooting a bomb kills the bomb and the shooter, so GB is alive in none of those scenarios. it just hands scum a free win
Oh, well rip my entire idea lol.
I thought the bomb was like a veteran thing from town of salem lol.
Ignore the entire idea, I’m back to the drawing board lol.
pretty much today should be a lynch between {me,nanook,dom}
even if you were scum, lynching you in a lylo scenario is the smartest approach
Yeah, we’ll be able to kill two people out of a possible three here.
that said, with the way things have been going today, it’s looking like i’ll be lynched
so, let’s play a game of pretend and assume that’s already happened. it’s D3, all 4 of you are left alive
who would you think is scum, mylo?
note: it should go without saying btw, but if i flip blank, dom is almost certainly the last scum. though lynching mylo and having him super-saint kill dom is basically how the game should play out since that’s the safest route
I guess Dom?
Although, is there a particular reason why GB is being townread? Most people seem to believe they’re town, but I’m not really following on with why.
Yeah, if you’re blank it means Nanook is confirmed town and then we’ve got a Me/GB/Dom final 3.