Matroshka Mafia 8p

Nvm we need 1 more

its 6/21 for 7p and 5/14 for 8p?

n-3Ck/nCk or am i doing that wrong

oh wait im doing it wrong there’s a confirmed town

Uh (3x4/5x6)(1/2 2/3* 1/2 * 2) or 4/30 for 7p no?

God that’s so scumsided LOL

8p is…

5 x4/7x6 times (probability of 5 cards with 2 bad the 2 bad arent adjacent)

O shit and we have 8 boys

boizzzzzzzzzz

Roles going out tonight and we’ll start when everyone has confirmed/give scum a bit of time to strategize if they want

wait only scum placement matters yeah
so 2 scum 7 slots
12 winning placements
42 possible placements

am i being stupid

21 placements, and only 6 win

so

2/7 LOL 28% EV

35
36
37
46
47
57

u are correct sir

GL FUCKERS

28% EV for town? Does that mean we get all the elos if we win?

isn’t 9p 5/14?

yes

but I think it’s much friendlier to town than the EV

we will try with 8 and SEE!

as a fun bonus exercise everyone can submit what they would have done

and we can see if yall can beat that 28%