How confident are you with your Duskfall vote?
Omg look hes asking people questions! Letās see if his stances change at all based on the answers
@Josh cmon man
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@DS you have shaded all 3 slots that have been on the starv wagon but not really taken a definitive stance from what I have seen. You have implied for sure but I donāt really like to assume peopleās meaning. Would you mind giving me a read list so I can see where you stand?
To be frank, I donāt really care, I ran the numbers and I think we just win as long as the partition cop doesnāt die.
Raw probability of having a confirmed TTT day 2 is 22.9%, probability of lynching scum and following up with a red is 7%ā¦
So yeah, my plan was to protect the partition cop by giving mafia a safe N1 target instead of gambling on the 30%ā¦ Because the partition cop living is a guaranteed victory basically.
This set up is so solvable, the fact that some of you actively donāt want to solve it is very scummy, but when the stakes are so low because weāre likely to win anyway, I think itās kind of whatever and I prefer to not accidentally push the partition cop.
In fact, in this set up, it would have been fine to lynch with no discussion because it is so town favoured. Our odds have probably? gone down with the role fishing thatās going onā¦ Itās really hard to say given interpretations are all over the placeā¦ But I think two scum working together in private can probably piece things together more accurately than we can in the thread.
Okay Star, I spent some time reading. I think your vote on #82 is bad. Cheet is reading like straight Town to me. Sure, itās early and he could be fooling me. But heās given no indication at all of being Scum in my mind, and I agree that itās too early to be trying to direct the Cop any which way.
DS why you have to shade Chess manā¦
And why are you (Chess) so obnoxious? Are you prone to tunneling people early this much? Man this is going to be a long game.
And I am with Cheet on #127 actually - Star, you have come across as more genuine when Scum hunting before. Iām being very careful here because again, I understand that youāre trying to change your approach and thereās nothing wrong with that. But what Iām seeing is that youāre getting very defensive about people putting you under a microscope, when youāre whole approach and tone is very different from any game Iāve seen you play. Itās totally fair, even if you are arguing that it isnāt. Iām not going to say youāre for sure Scum here, but after going through the posts more slowly, I can see where some people are coming from. Now, Dusk still jumped on you a bit too early in my mind, so thereās that to consider.
#154 - @StarV are you saying that Cheet is Scum and Chess is Town? For Cheet being locked into you? I gotta be honest, Chess feels to me like heās vastly more focused on you and rallying people towards you than Cheet. So this is a bit odd.
#179 - Iām reading Urist as Town. Which is great because we played as Scum together recently and it went to shit really fast. So this should be a lot better haha
#184 - Dan are you Scum? Since when do you not read posts by other players? I get that youāre lazy but cāmon.
#185 - uhm, Star being my partner is like impossible. Not in a million years would I come out and defend him this openly when heās incredibly likely to be lynched. Heās basically refusing to defend himself properly and is attacking whoever is scrutinizing him. Even though I think heās Town, I can see why people are criticizing him and I think he needs to try and take a step back and reread the game. But yeah I would just stay out of it (like tn is doing) if Star was Scum and I was his Partner. My 2 cents.
I wonāt comment on the rather personal interactions between Cheet and Urist since Cheet replaced out. Sorry to see you go Cheet.
ā
Still reading. Iāll get through the rest soon.
ā¦no?
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#227 - I agree with everything in this post to be honest. Itās rather confusing to me that Star would admit that he expected people to go after him after his strategy post but then Scum reads people for it. Ugh.
Josh has definitely rolled into a Town slot. So Iām not going to worry too much about it.
#260 - Star are you giving up here? Sure itās annoying if people can clear each other as Town quickly, but only if youāre Scum. So I canāt say that Iām Town reading this post. Iām also super skeptical so I donāt do āLock Townā and stuff like that but I do TR Cheet/Josh. Chess I donāt knowā¦ at least not yet.
How likely do you think it is that we would let Star get away with this? You must have some confidence that we can do betterā¦
What the hell is this?
Obnoxiousness scales linearly with confidence
I donāt trust you people at all to lynch Star based on the amount of noble heroes who have stepped forward to bash me
Wait, so Iāve been scum reading Duskfall and Chesskid? This is news to me.
VOTE: Andresvmb
I donāt understand what your motivation is to make shit up as town. I actually said Iām NOT scum reading Duskfall for his push on me and that his push WAS expected.
Weāve caught scum boys!
You are not this bad, are you?
I meant Cheet, who was attacking you for your strategy and you voted for. Couldnāt you have asked me what I meant?
And since when are you this confident that youāve caught Scum twice on the same day? Cāmon man Iām trying to parse things through and youāre like attacking everyone who questions anything you do.
Actually, Cheet was attacking me for my lack of posted readsā¦ So what youāre trying to do is looking real shady tbh.
Wait okay so maybe I should just ask you. Who do you Scum read? I was echoing Duskās point that he is Scum reading you because you are attacking those that went after you for a strategy you posted when you expected them to. But you Scum read me and not Dusk? What is this?
Are you sure?