The doll organizer should try to organize like this:
TT ST ST
Whoever is revealed as the dollmaker or whatever the role is called should have 3 locktown reads and 1 lockscum read. Lockscum read in position 3 and locktown reads in positions 1,2,4 makes the chance of town victory fairly high.
if any of you guys are good at that kind of math can you EV the win chance if the above situation is true?
And that’s why the game has only 28% EV for town. I’m not particularly confident either. I can only hope that I’m not chosen to be the dollmaker, too. Elli would be a better choice, as would Urist and yourself.
2 players have not posted, and 2 others have only posted once. That had damn well better change soon-ish, @Ellibereth@DS@Nanook@Urist. Inactivity is absolutely unacceptable in a game like this, especially since we have such a limited time-frame to sort people in.
Though I agree with your sentiment sure. I think TN is just trying to get as much information as possible so that people can make a more informed decision.
So, what’s optimal here all-powerful, all-knowing Elli?