So I have read Capage’s ISO, and Nutella has said that his first post is scum indicative.
Hot take: It isn’t. I know someone else from the community I belong to in a game we played where he made this kind of first post, and was scumread for it but eventually turned out to be town. I have a belief that unless your first posts are containing valuable information that will help solve the game already, first posts are NAI.
I think he might be joking? I dunno.
Also, hello!
Elli says Duskfall is town, so as far as I’m concerned he’s town. I’m not wasting effort there.
I vibe with this. Putting all 5 mafia in the early group requires all mafia to be very good at not being detected. If the scum are successful in having no scum killed D1, that leaves us with a 6/5 ratio if NKs exist. That’s good for mafia, but there’s a really high chance that at least both kills are scum.
And let’s say they’re not lucky and have at least 1 scum die each day. The ratio by then would be 5/3, but then we get 5 new townies, and since 2 scum have been killed, this means at least 2 of the late arrivals are town. Which is not good for scum, since you don’t want people towncleared as scum, you want everyone to have a slight chance of a miskill.
I don’t know, I just got that feeling, you know? Hello to you too!!
Hey anyone, can anyone guide me through the Andres wagon? I could see a few scum-indicative posts from him, but I still need more clarification.
I don’t get the Capage wagon and neither the DKDK wagon. The latter imo is dumb because DKDK is a new player from what I know and I see nothing scummy from him/her/whatever DKDK prefers to be called.
Hello there!
I’ll ISO Dusk soon, since I’m trying to develop strong reads now.
Elli’s voting us, too. so 
nah capage has a >> rand scum post
who’s a better vote, I want to vote 4 people.
more than 1
Mmmmmmmmmm… I think you’re wrong about the general belief. I’ve been justly caught on first posts before. Someone’s opening to the game can actually be pretty valuable AI information.
first, i going to read. i’m a slow reader 
This particular part of your post seems wrong to me. Those fresh townies coming in are the ones who haven’t had a chance to say or do anything to increase their town equity yet, they’re the ones that would be easier miskills. That’s good for scum, no?
ai not ai discussions are silly since every post is useful in an AI related capacity. i actually insist on my weather thing for said reason,
This post is AI
Maybe this one is a little bit less so
And this one is just pure unapologetic spam
VOTE: Andres
VOTE: Capage
I get your point. What I meant is that for every scum killed in the first 2 days, that’s +1 confirmed townie in the late arrivals. And there’s a high chance that some of these freshly confirmed townies are good players or could get towncleared pretty quickly.