M16 Game Thread

Could you explain?

Ah, ok. I think I understand.

Like I’m not very suspicious of him but i thinks it’s enough to justify that 2 shot move

Basically, if we vote catty and are wrong, we lose.

If we vote EK and we are wrong, he can still kill catty and we have another chance tomorrow. Is that right?

@erickline, what is your opinion on this?

Assuming one of the two is scum.

I may look at their interactions between them to see if we can determine if they’re aligned with each other

This is assuming I get my irl stuff done because I am very busy atm

From your perspective, if you DID think I was scum, then yes, it’s logical for y’all to kill me. Either way catty dies.

However, knowing I’m town, this move NEVER makes sense.

So idk what you want me to say.

We don’t

That was my pov, soccer boy

I think you are likely town…but I have been wrong before.

Would you be against being voted out and using your vengeful power on catty?

I will not use my kill if you kill me. Period.

Why?

Im not asking you to volunteer for this by the way, just curious about GKB’s plan.

Okay wait

Vote Count

cattypaws_f (1): Brandn03

Not Voting (7): GoalkeeperBoss, EricKline, Squirrel2412, laserlab, Quin, cattypaws_f, k.aylee2412

Insert a catapult

You’d literally throw any chance town had at winning this game out of spite?

Hi, I’m back.

Sorry for completely disappearing - the tablet I was using crashed so many times I gave up, plugged it in for a solid hour, then came back to it.* I was also a little upset about the Seahawks losing, so in retrospect it’s probably a good thing I didn’t reenter the thread since I probably wouldn’t be seeing things clearly.

That’s an intriguing play (mildly disappointed I didn’t think of it first). I agree cat should be voted out, but I think we should be very careful with how we place our votes. Since its mylo, we don’t want scum quickhammering to force the miselim.

This is an excellent point. I think everybody thought cat was the scummiest yesterday, so she would be the obvious target for a separatist guess.

So I did the math if we vote out EK

Right now it’s 5 v 3


Vote out scum!EK makes it 5 v 2

Scum!EK kills town (obviously), making 4 v 2

Mafia kill, making it 3 v 2


Vote out town!EK makes it 4 v 3

If town!EK kills scum, it’s 4 v 2

Scum kill makes it 3 v 2

If town!EK kills town, it’s 3 v 3 (loss)


Now, if we vote anybody else out, we lose if they are town.

With EricKline, we can conceivably still survive if we vote out town!EK, but we’re guaranteed to be in lylo the following day.

So from a mechanical standpoint, voting out EricKline is the best. However, we need to be certain on who he kills, otherwise we lose.

If you don’t and you’re town then we’ve lost

Put it this way; if we vote out any town except you, we lose because maf kill to gain parity. If you don’t use your kill it’s basically the same thing.

3 Likes

Thank you for understanding how basic probability works, maybe pass that on to Eric

We can safely assume that catty is NOT separatist. She’s either scum or not. A: GKB and laser wouldn’t defend her because they themselves wouldn’t know (unless they’ve manged to check everyone else, this knowing through). B: scum team wouldn’t know that they had doc at their disposal.

We can also safely assume that the scumteam have already checked the people that were highly suspected this game: squirrel, kaylee (plus they are V town).

People least likely to have been checked, in order: laser, quin, GKB. That’s my list, each of you probably have your own.

It’s also nearly impossible that the neighbizer is separatist. Because logically they woulda added scum first and somehow got them to check.

Hmm

On the neighborizer, the first person added and the neighbizer cannot be a scum/separatist combo, because the separatist would again have told the scum somehow.

Uhhh

Brandon has no insentive to save me.

Brandon town
Squirrel town
Quin town (trusting brandon)
Kaylee prob town

Scum team
Laser, catty

Goalkeeper: separatist

That’s everything I thought in the order I thought

Let’s keep going.

5-3

Kill me…

4-3

I kill catty, they probably kill brandon who’s basically already a lock anyway

3-2

The ratio for town is better. You don’t have to guess and think MAYBE Kline is town. Same with bradon

Town team is:
Squirrel
Quin
Kaylee

Vs:
GKb
Laser

Problem with this scumteam is that I feel way worse about about that town team. We’ve killed brandon, the most lock town, and me (which I guess probably isn’t a lock town for you guys…but I trust myself).

But this play doesn’t change no matter the day.

So no. I wouldn’t kill me.