[Game Thread] SFM1 - Puella Magi Forum★Mafia: Rebellion

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#482

1814 Quin claims
1815 Ash says that the flavor + ability combination makes sense
1825 Zone also says that it checks out and points out that if Quin is real they could take over GKB’s role
1827 Zone actually switches to GKB
1828 Squirrel follows
1830 Ash also follows
1833 Ironic moves from Kline to GKB

#483

ok removing Ash/Zone
if Quin is a wolf, its possible we have one wolf in squirrel/ironic
Ironic stayed off both wagons but moved to GKB because ???
he says it was because Zone’s proposal made sense, but he wasnt even voting Quin

#484

dead/gellnick/(Ironic/Marshal/Hydra)/Alison
given your belief that squirrel is a town lean
and that I am not evaluating you today or anyone else, in the neighborhood/masonry

edit: forgot to add the hydra

#485

dont think gellnick has to be a wolf, want to see what icibalus brings to the table

#486

I’m currently thinking that in W!Quin worlds the wolves are disproportionately likely to be in the people already on GKB when the vote switch happens rather than the people who switched

and also that if Quin was a wolf and there were bussers then the bussers would probably stay on Quin when it became clear that the vote switch to GKB was happening (though I TR basically the entire Quin wagon so I think this points to ‘if Quin is a wolf they weren’t getting bussed’)

#487

what was quin’s wagon at its peek?

#488

which is Rem/Litten/Valerie/Marshal/Hydra/Alison

taking out Rem/Litten/Valerie that leaves Marshal/Hydra/Alison

#489

@Arete
we are making progress, thanks for all the work u just did

1 Like
#490

Marshal (3): REM, Zone_Q11, Arete
Icibalus (1): Marshal
bepwei (1): Geyde
Ari_2412 (1): deadbananas
Arete (1): Ari_2412
Wisp (1): ash4fun
Geyde (1): Wisp

Not Voting (8): bepwei, IronicDeadBird, Quin, EricKline, Icibalus, Valerie, Chemist1422, TotallyNotKyubey

I don’t see W!Marshal bussing W!Ici/Gellnick here

Marshal is normally super powerwolfy, the only times I’ve seen him bus off the top of my head are:

  • in a complicated LyLoish scenario bussing a wolf role after we worked out that we had a mechanically locked win if that particular wolf got lynched
  • attempting to bus a perpetually LHFy player who had already attracted significant negative attention, then immediately switching back when a couple people started townreading that player
  • when a weaker teammate randomly decided to bus him for no reason without discussing it, attempting to counterbus that teammate

basically what I’m saying is that Marshal/Ici is very unlikely to be W/W

#491

Marshal instead of IronicDeadBird?!?

#492

Icibalus is the wolfier of the two of them!

#493

you say that like Ironic should be a wolf read? Arete’s PoE is fine
I think given Marshal’s early posts that they are more likely to flip town, but w/e at this point, its possible I am town leading them off a red herring anyways

#494

if Arete is a wolf, she just pocketed me, sorry

#495

though given her not w/w read on marshal/Gellnick, I think Gellnick is has the higher chance of flipping a wolf, given his posts, and his wagon placement

#496

On a rational level I kind of agree but I’m gutreading Marshal as W here

#497

VOTE: Icibalus
I leave it at this, going to sleep

#498

I tl Marshal overall! I sl Ironic and Icibalus!

Arete’s POE makes sense! My would lynch list for today is not far off!

hydra
deadbananas
Gellnick/Icibalus
IronicDeadBird
bepwei

#499

@Valerie
whats your read on Alison’s slot?

#500

Soft tr until reevaluation! I haven’t gotten a good few hours to read yet! I’ll catch up now!

#501

I’m going to put my vote on bepwei for now!

VOTE: bepwei