[Game Thread] SFM1 - Puella Magi Forum★Mafia: Rebellion

Begone

nah u don’t need to.

My gut is screaming that rem, ash, dead feel off for some reason but my brain says Seth and I’m so confused. If I lose the game I’m really sorry

also intent-to-vote seth.
But I want to see what the people in front of me do first.

@ash4fun why is Seth scum?

M14 and you should know it well

Ash/dead/Seth/ironic are MG and REM is the bewpei of M14

what does this mean

Orange pocketed me soooooooooo hard and Powerwolfed. We hadn’t really dealt with this as a site so we got swept

By VC 'n stuff:
a) the only way bananas is scum is if chemist is, and these two don’t seem to be excessively aligned–at least not more than I have made them so (with my less-than-spectacular play N2 & N3)
b) seth snapvoted bananas, whom I believe to be town. And yet, the game has not ended as we would expect from these two being tvt.

ergo, seth is scum.

Also, see above for my “objective/target slip” on him.

Oh

Bewpei was arguing with me and kaitlyn that orange was confirmed as town as town when orange was mafia

Hey, I didn’t say conf town. But I basically delayed his lynch until it was too late

VOTE: Seththeking
I’m really sorry if I just lost the game for you guys

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okay.
Now we have… eric.

This one might take a while.

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Do you want me to get quotes?

I’m still embarrassed about that game…

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@EricKline your turn to vote. Please state Intent first.

You don’t even understand who the fuck you’re dealing with. I have advanced degrees in statistics and computer science and I’ve created a simple program with an advanced algorithm that I’ve been working on for years. I have read and tracked over 600 forum mafia games, recording every fencesit, every association, every scumtell. I have over 50 documented, specific forms and versions of scumtells and towntells, and at this point I can just skim a thread and put it into my machine. I have reduced the cacophonous lies of forum mafia into a pure, beautiful mathematical formula, and it’s led me to literal hundreds of wins.

Why do I think Seth’s scum? I don’t deign to think about Seth myself. Instead, I thought about how to create a program to know mathematically whether Seth is scum. I don’t need to think about Seth, because my algorithm has determined that Seth is scum to an 87% certainty. You cannot beat those numbers at this stage in the game. We’re talking about a mere 13% chance that Seth is a town member so monumentally bad at this game that you fooled a computer program that has successfully identified over 500 unique mafia players as scum with over 96% accuracy. Seth’s only defense, in other words, is that Seth is so naturally scummy that Seth is an outlier.

Whether you’re town or mafia, this is a message from mathematics – you are bad at this game. You have played so scummy that a perfectly objective process has labeled you as scum. Whether that makes you bad at playing your specific rolecard or bad in general, there is no question that behaving like scum means you have not performed well. Consider this a welcome wakeup call, as hundreds have before you: If a player decides you’re scum, it’s possible you just got unlucky, but if a computer program can be that certain of your alignment, there are some serious holes in your game, because it means you’re scum in an objective sense, rather than a subjective one. For that reason, I’m willing to roll that die and take that 13% risk, because even if there’s a small chance you might be town, there’s not even a remote chance that you’re good.

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(This was a meme if it wasn’t obvious)

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I don’t even need to read it–I’ve read it like 4 times–and it still makes me chuckle :)

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